Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Daniel Prodan Stadium, Satu Mare
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Furtuna D.
30'
Balan A.
41'
Donca M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
CSM Satu Mare
35%
Draws
50%
Tunari
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tunari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tunari lately — more wins on the board than CSM Satu Mare.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Tunari taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 14%
Tunari Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Satu Mare Tunari
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Satu Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbala K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Tunari Compare

Top Goalscorer Furtuna D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 23 / 100
Tunari 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Satu Mare Tunari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Satu Mare found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Tunari has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CSM Satu Mare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS Tunari
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Satu Mare

(Home)
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
FC Bihor
15 Aug
Cetatea Suceava
2 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
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Tunari

(Away)
12 Sept
Petrolul Berca
2 : 2
Tunari
05 Sept
Tunari
3 : 0
CSO Plopeni
28 Aug
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 2
Tunari
19 Aug
CSM Corona Brasov
3 : 2
Tunari
12 Aug
Tunari
2 : 1
Stefanesti
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC ASA Tg. Mures 7 4 2 1 16:7 51
2 Metalul Buzau 7 6 0 1 16:6 50
3 CSM Slatina 7 5 2 0 13:4 43
4 Poli Iasi 7 3 1 3 7:6 41
5 Gloria Bistrita 7 2 2 3 10:8 34
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 7 3 0 4 9:10 25
7 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 4:19 20
8 Campulung 7 0 1 6 4:19 11
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 7 3 0 4 7:11 42
2 Concordia 7 4 2 1 10:5 41
3 CSM Resita 7 2 1 4 6:10 40
4 Afumati 7 2 1 4 8:9 37
5 CSC Dumbravita 7 2 1 4 6:7 32
6 Selimbar 7 3 1 3 8:9 30
7 CSM Satu Mare 7 4 2 1 16:9 28
8 Tunari 7 3 2 2 9:10 27
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)