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CSM Targoviste vs Argesul Mihailesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Targoviste play Argesul Mihailesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 3 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSM Targoviste averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Argesul Mihailesti averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Targoviste won 0, Argesul Mihailesti won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 11, 2010 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for CSM Targoviste and 1.11 for Argesul Mihailesti. This points to a CSM Targoviste double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CSM Targoviste
21%
Draws
34%
Argesul Mihailesti
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: CSM Targoviste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Targoviste picked up more points recently compared to Argesul Mihailesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
CSM Targoviste Clean Sheet 21%
Argesul Mihailesti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Targoviste Argesul Mihailesti
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Argesul Mihailesti vs CSM Targoviste
0:0
Nov 27, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 3
CSM Targoviste vs Argesul Mihailesti
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Targoviste 45 / 100
Argesul Mihailesti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Targoviste Argesul Mihailesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSM Targoviste or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Targoviste attacking → ← attacking Argesul Mihailesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Targoviste scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Argesul Mihailesti let in goals in 78% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

CSM Targoviste went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Argesul Mihailesti lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 29
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Daco-Getica Bucuresti34265377:2483
2Conpet Ploiesti34245574:2577
3Inter Clinceni34189753:3163
4Urban Titu341851158:4159
5LPS HD Clinceni341771062:4258
6Chimia Brazi34169972:3457
7Petrolistul Boldesti341671164:4355
8Rapid Bucuresti 2341661259:3954
9Argesul Mihailesti341661237:3054
10Tarlungeni341561342:3851
11Videle341551445:4450
12Comprest341471359:5249
13Viitorul Toporu341541549:4949
14CSM Targoviste341061844:6136
15CS Petrolul Teleajen32652127:7223
16Adunatii-Copaceni34632530:8021
17Filipestii32352421:7814
18Predeal32203014:1046