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CSP vs Pombal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Emersonn Bastos
(Penalty)
77' Event
Kelven
89' Event
Kelven

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2024 game between CSP and Pombal finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pombal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
CSP
15%
Draws
37%
Pombal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSP come out ahead of Pombal on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on CSP taking it.
  • Regular Paraibano 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
CSP Clean Sheet 68%
Pombal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSP Pombal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2024 Paraibano
CSP vs Pombal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelven
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSP 86 / 100
Pombal 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSP Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

CSP scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CSP has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSP VS Pombal
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSP

(Home)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
Page 1 of 6

Pombal

(Away)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 9 7 0 2 18:6 21
2 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Botafogo PB 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
4 Sousa 9 4 2 3 11:6 14
5 CSP 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
6 Campinense 9 3 2 4 6:10 11
7 Nacional PB 9 3 1 5 7:10 10
8 Pombal 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
9 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 1 1 7 4:22 4
10 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 2 4 8:8 -2
Promotion - Paraibano 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2025 (Main)