Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSP vs Sousa

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025
Sat, Jan 11, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSP host Sousa in the Paraibano 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sousa have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while CSP have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Sousa slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.05) point toward Sousa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CSP
15%
Draws
26%
Sousa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CSP haven't matched Sousa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CSP's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CSP Clean Sheet 20%
Sousa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSP Sousa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
0:0
Feb 6, 2024 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Paraibano
Sousa vs CSP
4:1
Mar 17, 2019 Paraibano
Sousa vs CSP
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSP 76 / 100
Sousa 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSP Sousa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSP's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sousa let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

CSP has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sousa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSP

(Home)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
Page 1 of 6

Sousa

(Away)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)