Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Morrone Stadium

CT United FC

3 - 1

Carolina Core

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Tanyi B.

Assist: D’Ippolito D.

20'

Baer R.

36'

Petrie S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between CT United FC and Carolina Core finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CT United FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

CT United FC

28%

Draws

22%

Carolina Core

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CT United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Carolina Core come out ahead of CT United FC on wins alone.
Model gives CT United FC a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%

CT United FC Clean Sheet 16%

Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CT United FC	Carolina Core
Matches Played	16	32
Wins	8	11
Draws	0	0
Losses	8	21
Goals Scored	2.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro

CT United FC vs Carolina Core

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CT United FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanyi B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kouonang H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Tattevin A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CT United FC 48 / 100

Carolina Core 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CT United FC Carolina Core

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CT United FC's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Carolina Core's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CT United FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CT United FC VS Carolina Core

2.13 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12