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CTE Colatina vs GEL

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CTE Colatina host GEL in the Capixaba 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: CTE Colatina at 0.75 goals for, 4 against; GEL at 0.63 for, 3.75 against. Head-to-head, CTE Colatina have won 3 to GEL's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 3-1. xG projections (2.25 - 2.31) back GEL to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CTE Colatina
40%
Draws
29%
GEL
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • GEL have won more games recently than CTE Colatina.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CTE Colatina Clean Sheet 10%
GEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CTE Colatina GEL
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 1 3
Draws 2 4
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 4 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
CTE Colatina vs GEL
3-1
Apr 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
GEL vs CTE Colatina
0-1
Mar 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
CTE Colatina vs GEL
0-1
Feb 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
GEL vs CTE Colatina
1-2
Jan 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
CTE Colatina vs GEL
1-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CTE Colatina 30 / 100
GEL 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CTE Colatina GEL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: GEL conceded in 100% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

GEL's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

CTE Colatina's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CTE Colatina VS GEL
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
4 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doze Futebol Clube11003:03
2Linhares Futebol Clube11002:03
3GEL00000:00
4Audax Sao Mateus10010:20
5CTE Colatina10010:30
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrela do Norte11002:03
2Tupy11001:03
3Sport-ES11001:03
4Pinheiros20020:20
5Rive10010:20