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Cuautla vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2021/2022
Sun, Mar 6, 2022
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cuautla host Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 in the Liga Premier Serie B 2021/2022. This one's hard to separate. Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Cuautla have conceded 1.06 and scored 2.44. Head-to-head, Cuautla have won 1 to Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.61, favoring Cuautla. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cuautla
20%
Draws
28%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cuautla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 lately — more wins on the board than Cuautla.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cuautla Clean Sheet 14%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuautla Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 2.44 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Cuautla vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
0:0
Jan 14, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Cuautla
0:0
Oct 29, 2021 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Cuautla
1:1
Sep 19, 2021 Liga Premier Serie B
Cuautla vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuautla 27 / 100
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuautla Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuautla scored in 88% of their last 16 games.

Cuautla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuautla

(Home)
05 Dec
Cuautla
4 : 1
Ciervos
01 Dec
Guerreros De Xico
0 : 3
Cuautla
28 Nov
Huracanes Izcalli
1 : 4
Cuautla
21 Nov
Cuautla
1 : 1
Lobos Huerta
14 Nov
Cuautla
3 : 0
Guerreros De Xico
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Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

(Away)
07 May
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
01 May
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 12 9 1 2 41:12 31
2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 12 7 3 2 30:12 27
3 Huracanes Izcalli 12 8 2 2 26:18 27
4 Calor De San Pedro 12 7 3 2 26:8 26
5 Lobos Huerta 12 3 0 9 14:30 9
6 Ciervos 12 2 2 8 12:32 9
7 Guerreros De Xico 12 0 1 11 2:39 1
8 Cuautla 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2021/2022 (Clausura - Play Offs)