Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuba vs Saint Lucia

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Torrez Gutierrez R.
45' Event
Matos Y.
53' Event
Reyes D.

AI Match Summary

Cuba in this CONCACAF Series matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cuba
20%
Draws
22%
Saint Lucia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint Lucia have won more games recently than Cuba.
  • Model gives Cuba a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cuba Clean Sheet 14%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba Saint Lucia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Cuba vs Saint Lucia
3:0
Jul 23, 1995 Caribbean Cup
Cuba vs Saint Lucia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Torrez Gutierrez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matos Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Saint Lucia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba 84 / 100
Saint Lucia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba Saint Lucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Lucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cuba scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cuba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cuba VS Saint Lucia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.57
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba

(Home)
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
11 Oct
Grenada
2 : 0
Cuba
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Saint Lucia

(Away)
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1
Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
06 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Saint Lucia
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