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Cudillero vs Real Tapia

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 game between Cudillero and Real Tapia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cudillero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cudillero
15%
Draws
85%
Real Tapia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Tapia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Tapia come out ahead of Cudillero on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Real Tapia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cudillero here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Cudillero Clean Sheet 16%
Real Tapia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cudillero Real Tapia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 0 2
Losses 30 23
Goals Scored 0.15 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Real Tapia
3:0
Oct 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Cudillero
0:1
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Real Tapia
1:0
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Cudillero
0:1
May 4, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Real Tapia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cudillero 19 / 100
Real Tapia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cudillero Real Tapia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Tapia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Tapia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Real Tapia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cudillero found the back of the net in 9% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Cudillero VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cudillero

(Home)
17 May
Cudillero
0 : 2
Universidad Oviedo
10 May
Astur
2 : 0
Cudillero
03 May
Praviano
2 : 0
Cudillero
26 Apr
Cudillero
0 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Apr
Llanes
2 : 0
Cudillero
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Real Tapia

(Away)
11 May
Real Tapia
2 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Atletico de Lugones
3 : 2
Real Tapia
27 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Covadonga
17 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
Real Tapia
13 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Union Club Ceares
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lealtad 38 23 7 8 62:27 76
2 Langreo 38 23 7 8 62:28 76
3 Union Club Ceares 38 21 11 6 54:31 74
4 Praviano 38 21 9 8 57:36 72
5 Covadonga 38 20 11 7 70:35 71
6 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 67:38 64
7 Universidad Oviedo 38 19 7 12 52:30 64
8 Cudillero 38 19 6 13 59:51 63
9 L Entregu CF 38 17 8 13 48:39 59
10 Condal 38 14 13 11 47:34 55
11 Real Aviles B 38 13 10 15 51:55 49
12 Real Oviedo B 38 14 6 18 46:53 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 10 16 12 55:54 46
14 Atletico de Lugones 38 12 10 16 49:55 46
15 Lenense 38 10 8 20 29:54 38
16 Gijon Industrial 38 9 9 20 21:50 36
17 Andes CF 38 10 4 24 32:77 34
18 Candas CF 38 8 10 20 35:53 34
19 Luarca 38 6 10 22 23:66 28
20 Real Tapia 38 5 5 28 23:76 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)