Sport Picks
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá 
Match Events
37'
37'
Fabio Gomes
Assist: Kauan Cristtyan
59'
59'
Sub
David Miguel In: Wesley Dias
Out: David Miguel
59'
59'
Sub
Kauan Cristtyan In: Eliel
Out: Kauan Cristtyan
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Cuiaba and Athletic Club finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuiaba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuiaba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cuiaba come out ahead of Athletic Club on wins alone.
- Cuiaba are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Cuiaba have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cuiaba | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club
3:0
May 9, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Cuiaba
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club
2:1
May 31, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Cuiaba
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cuiaba Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabio Gomes
1 Goals Assists Leader Jean Dias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Athletic Club Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cuiaba 68 / 100
Athletic Club 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cuiaba Athletic Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cuiaba scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Athletic Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cuiaba VS Athletic Club
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cuiaba
(Home) 07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0 Cuiaba
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Cacerense
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0 Cuiaba
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Cacerense
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0 Sorriso EC
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 3
Athletic Club
(Away) 06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1 Athletic Club
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1 Athletic Club
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
