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Cuiaba vs Avai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cuiaba host Avai in the Serie B. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Cuiaba at 1.43 goals for, 0.83 against; Avai at 1.1 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Cuiaba have won 2 to Avai's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 0.69) back Cuiaba to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Cuiaba
15%
Draws
7%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cuiaba lately — more wins on the board than Avai.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Cuiaba taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 20%
Avai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Avai
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.43 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Cuiaba
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Cuiaba
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Avai
2:2
Oct 27, 2022 Serie A Betano
Cuiaba vs Avai
1:0
Jul 3, 2022 Serie A Betano
Avai vs Cuiaba
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 76 / 100
Avai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cuiaba scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Cuiaba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Avai
2.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Cacerense
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
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Avai

(Away)
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
2 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 17:66 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)