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Cuiaba vs Dom Bosco

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2024 Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Pitta I.
60' Event
Deyverson
63' Event
Pitta I.

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2024 game between Cuiaba and Dom Bosco finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuiaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Cuiaba
15%
Draws
32%
Dom Bosco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cuiaba come out ahead of Dom Bosco on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cuiaba a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cuiaba have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Dom Bosco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Dom Bosco
Matches Played 56 32
Wins 30 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.52 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Dom Bosco
5:0
Feb 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Cuiaba
0:1
Mar 19, 2022 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Dom Bosco
3:0
Mar 12, 2022 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Cuiaba
0:1
Feb 12, 2022 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Dom Bosco
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitta I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Deyverson
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Dom Bosco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 95 / 100
Dom Bosco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Dom Bosco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dom Bosco let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cuiaba scored in 70% of their last 56 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 12

Dom Bosco

(Away)
05 Jul
Dom Bosco
3 : 0
Uirapuru
28 Jun
Acao
1 : 2
Dom Bosco
19 Jun
Dom Bosco
1 : 2
Cacerense
16 Jun
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 1
Dom Bosco
24 Feb
Luverdense
4 : 1
Dom Bosco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 8 1 0 19:5 25
2 Cuiaba 9 5 4 0 20:8 19
3 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 15:9 17
4 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 10:10 14
5 Mixto 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 2 4 9:9 11
7 Primavera AC 9 1 5 3 5:8 8
8 Academia 9 2 0 7 8:14 6
9 Dom Bosco 9 1 3 5 6:18 6
10 Araguaia 9 1 2 6 4:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)