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Cuiaba vs Goias

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Vitor Mendes
17'
Lucas Ribeiro
28' Event
Jean Carlos
Assist: Anselmo Ramon

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cuiaba and Goias finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Cuiaba
35%
Draws
20%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Goias carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cuiaba's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Goias Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Goias
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Goias
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Cuiaba
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Goias
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Serie B
Goias vs Cuiaba
3:1
May 23, 2024 Copa Betano do Brasil
Cuiaba vs Goias
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Peixoto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Goias Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Carlos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 77 / 100
Goias 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuiaba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Goias conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Goias's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Goias
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Goias
19 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 0
Operario-PR
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3
Cuiaba
09 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Fortaleza
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1
Cuiaba
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Goias

(Away)
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Goias
19 Aug
Goias
0 : 1
EC Juventude
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0
Goias
10 Aug
Goias
1 : 0
Londrina
26 Jul
America MG
1 : 0
Goias
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 23 12 8 3 25:15 44
2 EC Juventude 23 12 6 5 24:12 42
3 Vila Nova FC 23 12 4 7 35:25 40
4 Novorizontino 23 10 7 6 35:20 37
5 Fortaleza 23 10 7 6 25:21 37
6 CRB 23 10 6 7 34:32 36
7 Operario-PR 23 10 5 8 30:31 35
8 Sport Recife 23 8 11 4 29:22 35
9 Athletic Club 23 8 10 5 24:21 34
10 Goias 24 9 6 9 23:29 33
11 Atletico GO 23 8 9 6 24:23 33
12 Cuiaba 24 7 12 5 21:18 33
13 Sao Bernardo 23 8 7 8 32:26 31
14 Botafogo SP 23 8 7 8 28:23 31
15 Nautico 23 8 6 9 27:26 30
16 Ceara 24 7 7 10 25:30 28
17 Avai 23 7 5 11 25:30 26
18 Londrina 24 5 6 13 29:36 21
19 America MG 23 2 5 16 16:39 11
20 Ponte Preta 23 2 4 17 16:48 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)