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Cuiaba vs Gremio Sorriso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2022 Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
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AI Match Summary

Cuiaba in this Campeonato Matogrossense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuiaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cuiaba
20%
Draws
23%
Gremio Sorriso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cuiaba lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Sorriso.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Cuiaba taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Sorriso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Gremio Sorriso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.53 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Gremio Sorriso
4:0
Mar 28, 2021 Matogrossense
Gremio Sorriso vs Cuiaba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 59 / 100
Gremio Sorriso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Gremio Sorriso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Sorriso has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Cuiaba found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Cacerense
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Sorriso

(Away)
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
30 Apr
Sinop FC
3 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 Apr
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
19 Apr
Gremio Sorriso
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 9 7 1 1 23:6 22
2 Luverdense 9 6 2 1 13:3 20
3 Sport Sinop 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Academia 9 4 1 4 5:11 13
5 Dom Bosco 9 3 4 2 9:11 13
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 4 0 5 10:11 12
7 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
8 Operario VG 9 3 1 5 11:12 10
9 Gremio Sorriso 9 1 1 7 5:18 4
10 Acao 9 0 2 7 9:18 2
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2022 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2022 (Play Offs)