Sport Picks
Cuiaba vs Nova Mutum EC
Brazil
Matogrossense 2025 Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Matogrossense 2025 game between Cuiaba and Nova Mutum EC finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuiaba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cuiaba haven't matched Nova Mutum EC's recent run of results.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cuiaba | Nova Mutum EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 16 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cuiaba Compare
Nova Mutum EC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Nova Mutum EC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Cuiaba's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 39 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Cuiaba
(Home)Nova Mutum EC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mixto | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Cuiaba | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 | Primavera AC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Nova Mutum EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 10 |
| 6 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Luverdense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Sport Sinop | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Academia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:11 | 1 |
| 10 | Caceres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
