Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuiaba vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Vagner Silva In: Elias Curzel
Out: Vagner Silva
19'
Boschilia
27'
Pepe

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cuiaba and Operario-PR finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuiaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cuiaba
30%
Draws
31%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cuiaba's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Operario-PR
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.19
Goals Conceded 1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba
1:1
May 11, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR
2:3
Dec 19, 2020 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Dias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Operario-PR Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 77 / 100
Operario-PR 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Operario-PR conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Operario-PR registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Operario-PR
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3
Cuiaba
09 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Fortaleza
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1
Cuiaba
23 Jul
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Atletico GO
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Cuiaba
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Operario-PR

(Away)
16 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 2
Avai
07 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 3
Sao Bernardo
27 Jul
Atletico GO
3 : 1
Operario-PR
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2
Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 23 12 8 3 25:15 44
2 EC Juventude 23 12 6 5 24:12 42
3 Vila Nova FC 23 12 4 7 35:25 40
4 Fortaleza 23 10 7 6 25:21 37
5 Operario-PR 23 10 5 8 30:31 35
6 Sport Recife 23 8 11 4 29:22 35
7 Novorizontino 22 9 7 6 32:20 34
8 Athletic Club 22 8 10 4 24:19 34
9 CRB 22 9 6 7 32:32 33
10 Atletico GO 23 8 9 6 24:23 33
11 Goias 23 9 5 9 22:28 32
12 Cuiaba 23 7 11 5 20:17 32
13 Sao Bernardo 23 8 7 8 32:26 31
14 Botafogo SP 23 8 7 8 28:23 31
15 Nautico 23 8 6 9 27:26 30
16 Avai 23 7 5 11 25:30 26
17 Ceara 23 6 7 10 23:29 25
18 Londrina 23 5 6 12 28:34 21
19 America MG 22 2 5 15 16:36 11
20 Ponte Preta 23 2 4 17 16:48 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)