Sport Picks
Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá 
Match Events
26'
26'
Kauan Cristtyan
35'
35'
Jean Dias
36'
36'
Juan Rodrigues
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Cuiaba and Ponte Preta finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuiaba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cuiaba come out ahead of Ponte Preta on wins alone.
- Model gives Cuiaba a 68% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cuiaba | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Jun 9, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba
1:2
Jan 11, 2021 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba
2:2
Oct 9, 2020 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Sep 28, 2019 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cuiaba Compare
Top Goalscorer Kauan Cristtyan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Ponte Preta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cuiaba 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cuiaba Ponte Preta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ponte Preta has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Cuiaba scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Cuiaba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cuiaba VS Ponte Preta
2.25 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cuiaba
(Home) 03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Cacerense
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0 Cuiaba
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5 Cuiaba
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Cacerense
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0 Sorriso EC
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 4
Ponte Preta
(Away) 03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
