Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cumbaya vs CD Cuenca Juniors

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cumbaya host CD Cuenca Juniors in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cumbaya have averaged 1 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against CD Cuenca Juniors's 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Cumbaya have won 1 to CD Cuenca Juniors's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.94, favoring CD Cuenca Juniors. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cumbaya
17%
Draws
13%
CD Cuenca Juniors
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Cuenca Juniors come out ahead of Cumbaya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cumbaya a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 20%
CD Cuenca Juniors Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya CD Cuenca Juniors
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Serie B
CD Cuenca Juniors vs Cumbaya
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 67 / 100
CD Cuenca Juniors 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya CD Cuenca Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumbaya scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: CD Cuenca Juniors conceded in 60% of 25 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Cumbaya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS CD Cuenca Juniors
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
22 Jul
San Antonio
0 : 0
Cumbaya
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
08 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 1
Cumbaya
02 Jul
Cumbaya
4 : 0
22 de Julio
10 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Cumbaya
Page 1 of 6

CD Cuenca Juniors

(Away)
17 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
09 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
03 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
10 Jun
Independiente Juniors
4 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
07 Jun
CD Cuenca Juniors
4 : 1
EL Nacional
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
2Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
3Atletico FC1779121:1330
4CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7San Antonio1849520:2021
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1766513:1118
1122 de Julio1743109:229
12EL Nacional17041310:291
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)