Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2021

Match Events

53'

Espinola C.

76'

Vera A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cumbaya host Atletico Porteno in the Serie B 2021. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Cumbaya at 1.13 goals for, 1.75 against; Atletico Porteno at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Cumbaya have won 3 to Atletico Porteno's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2021, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.38, favoring Cumbaya. Cumbaya in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Cumbaya

Draws

Atletico Porteno

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Cumbaya has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atletico Porteno.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Cumbaya.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B 2021 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Cumbaya Clean Sheet 17%

Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cumbaya	Atletico Porteno
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	12	10
Draws	10	4
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Cumbaya

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Aug 11, 2021 Serie B

Cumbaya vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Jun 17, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Cumbaya

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

May 5, 2021 Serie B

Cumbaya vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumbaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinola C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vera A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico Porteno Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 84 / 100

Atletico Porteno 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cumbaya Atletico Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumbaya scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Atletico Porteno let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Cumbaya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Porteno lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cumbaya	36	20	7	9	47:36	67
2	Gualaceo	36	17	9	10	46:31	60
3	EL Nacional	36	16	11	9	49:36	59
4	Chacaritas	36	12	13	11	35:34	49
5	America de Quito	36	10	17	9	41:33	47
6	Buhos ULVR	36	14	5	17	41:53	47
7	Independiente Juniors	36	11	10	15	45:46	43
8	Atletico Santo Domingo	36	10	12	14	37:44	42
9	Atletico Porteno	36	11	6	19	46:64	39
10	LDU Portoviejo	36	9	10	17	42:52	37