Sport Picks
Cumbaya vs Independiente Juniors
Ecuador
Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito 
Match Events
44'
44'
Arcos J.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Cumbaya in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumbaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cumbaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Independiente Juniors have won more games recently than Cumbaya.
- Cumbaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cumbaya | Independiente Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Independiente Juniors
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Cumbaya
2:1
Jun 5, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Independiente Juniors
1:3
Mar 25, 2025 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Cumbaya
0:2
Sep 24, 2021 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Independiente Juniors
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cumbaya 95 / 100
Independiente Juniors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cumbaya Independiente Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cumbaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente Juniors let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Cumbaya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Cumbaya found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Cumbaya VS Independiente Juniors
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cumbaya
(Home) 26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3 Cumbaya
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7 Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1 Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1 Cumbaya
26 Aug
Cumbaya
0 : 0 LDU Portoviejo
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1 Gualaceo
26 Aug
Cumbaya
0 : 0 LDU Portoviejo
13 Aug
Cumbaya
3 : 3 Dep. Santo Domingo
30 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0 CD Cuenca Juniors
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0 Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 3
Independiente Juniors
(Away) 24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3 Vinotinto
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1 Atletico FC
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1 Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0 CD Cuenca Juniors
27 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0 Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1 Independiente Juniors
27 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0 Independiente Juniors
15 Aug
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 2 Independiente Juniors
01 Aug
Gualaceo
2 : 3 Independiente Juniors
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1 Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25:14 | 38 |
| 3 | Nueve de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22:14 | 37 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 34 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 31 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17:22 | 27 |
| 8 | Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Gualaceo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15:32 | 9 |
| 12 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)
