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Cumberland United vs Heidelberg Utd

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Lady Burra Stadium, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Theodoropoulos A.
Assist: Theoharous C.
6' Event
Duarte N.
40'
Yokokawa A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cumberland United
15%
Draws
42%
Heidelberg Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cumberland United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cumberland United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Cumberland United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Heidelberg Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 20%
Heidelberg Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United Heidelberg Utd
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Australia Cup
Cumberland United vs Heidelberg Utd
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Heidelberg Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Theodoropoulos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duarte N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 42 / 100
Heidelberg Utd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United Heidelberg Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cumberland United scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Heidelberg Utd has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Heidelberg Utd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS Heidelberg Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumberland United

(Home)
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 7

Heidelberg Utd

(Away)
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Heidelberg Utd
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5
Hume City
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -