Sport Picks

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Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
McCabe H.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Cumberland United and Modbury Jets finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modbury Jets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cumberland United
15%
Draws
57%
Modbury Jets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Modbury Jets come out ahead of Cumberland United on wins alone.
  • Modbury Jets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cumberland United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 14%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United Modbury Jets
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.53 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets
0:1
May 23, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Cumberland United
0:1
Sep 19, 2020 NPL South Australia
Modbury Jets vs Cumberland United
1:2
Jul 18, 2020 NPL South Australia
Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets
3:0
Sep 14, 2019 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Cumberland United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer McCabe H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 10 / 100
Modbury Jets 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United Modbury Jets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modbury Jets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumberland United's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Modbury Jets has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Cumberland United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS Modbury Jets
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumberland United

(Home)
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
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Modbury Jets

(Away)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)