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Cumberland United vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tuohy S.
11' Event
Min D.
34' Event
Shearer C.

AI Match Summary

Cumberland United in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumberland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cumberland United
15%
Draws
42%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cumberland United lately — more wins on the board than Salisbury United.
  • Model gives Cumberland United a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 20%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United Salisbury United
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
4:3
Feb 28, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Cumberland United
1:1
May 31, 2025 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Cumberland United
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuohy S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Min D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Salisbury United Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Majetic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 36 / 100
Salisbury United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United Salisbury United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salisbury United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cumberland United scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Difficult form: Salisbury United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS Salisbury United
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumberland United

(Home)
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 7

Salisbury United

(Away)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)