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Cumberland United vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tuohy S.
11' Event
Min D.
34' Event
Shearer C.

AI Match Summary

Cumberland United in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumberland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cumberland United
6%
Draws
4%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cumberland United lately — more wins on the board than Salisbury United.
  • Model gives Cumberland United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 17%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United Salisbury United
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
4:3
Feb 28, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Cumberland United
1:1
May 31, 2025 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Cumberland United
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuohy S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Min D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Salisbury United Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Majetic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 84 / 100
Salisbury United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United Salisbury United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumberland United's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Salisbury United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Cumberland United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS Salisbury United
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United18103538:2733
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1891832:2428
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711