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Cumberland United vs The Cove FC

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Finney D.
69' Event
Rideout J.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Cumberland United and The Cove FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward The Cove FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Cumberland United
15%
Draws
12%
The Cove FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cumberland United come out ahead of The Cove FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cumberland United a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 20%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United The Cove FC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Cumberland United
0:2
May 8, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs The Cove FC
0:2
Jun 7, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs The Cove FC
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Cumberland United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

The Cove FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Finney D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rideout J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 85 / 100
The Cove FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United The Cove FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumberland United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumberland United's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: The Cove FC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Away concern: The Cove FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS The Cove FC
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumberland United

(Home)
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
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The Cove FC

(Away)
15 Aug
The Cove FC
1 : 3
Fulham United
07 Aug
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 2
The Cove FC
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)