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Cumberland United vs The Cove FC

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Finney D.
69' Event
Rideout J.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Cumberland United and The Cove FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward The Cove FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cumberland United
11%
Draws
9%
The Cove FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cumberland United come out ahead of The Cove FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cumberland United a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and The Cove FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 20%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United The Cove FC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs The Cove FC
0:2
Jun 7, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs The Cove FC
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Cumberland United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

The Cove FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Finney D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rideout J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 76 / 100
The Cove FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United The Cove FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumberland United found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

The Cove FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Cumberland United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS The Cove FC
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumberland United

(Home)
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
16 Jul
Fulham United
1 : 3
Cumberland United
04 Jul
Cumberland United
1 : 2
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
26 Jun
Eastern United
0 : 1
Cumberland United
Page 1 of 7

The Cove FC

(Away)
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
07 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
04 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders19131550:2340
2Adelaide Olympic19121638:2437
3Modbury Jets19105438:1835
4Fulham United19103638:2833
5Cumberland United19101834:2531
6Blue Eagles1994632:2731
7Adelaide Atletico1993733:2930
8The Cove FC1975726:2726
9Adelaide Cobras19621122:3720
10Eastern United19441118:3916
11Salisbury United19421324:4214
12South Adelaide19331320:5412
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)