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Cumnock Juniors vs Newton Stewart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Craik Z.
Assist: Breadner C.
46' Event
Craig J.
Assist: Breadner C.
55' Event
Craik Z.
Assist: Breadner C.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Cumnock Juniors and Newton Stewart finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumnock Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Cumnock Juniors
15%
Draws
17%
Newton Stewart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumnock Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Newton Stewart haven't matched Cumnock Juniors's recent run of results.
  • Cumnock Juniors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cumnock Juniors Clean Sheet 16%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumnock Juniors Newton Stewart
Matches Played 20 22
Wins 9 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.64
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Lowland League
Cumnock Juniors vs Newton Stewart
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumnock Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Craik Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Craig J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Newton Stewart Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumnock Juniors 84 / 100
Newton Stewart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumnock Juniors Newton Stewart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumnock Juniors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumnock Juniors scored in 90% of their last 20 games.

Newton Stewart let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Cumnock Juniors went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumnock Juniors VS Newton Stewart
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumnock Juniors

(Home)
02 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
16 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Beith
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
Page 1 of 4

Newton Stewart

(Away)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)