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Curacao U20 W vs Sint Maarten U20 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curacao U20 W play Sint Maarten U20 W in the CONCACAF Championship Women U20 2023. Curacao U20 W are favorites here. Recently, Curacao U20 W averaged 4 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Sint Maarten U20 W averaged 1 goals scored and 6.67 conceded. In past meetings, Curacao U20 W won 1, Sint Maarten U20 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2023 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.33 for Curacao U20 W and 1.47 for Sint Maarten U20 W. This points to a Curacao U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Curacao U20 W
15%
Draws
28%
Sint Maarten U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Curacao U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Sint Maarten U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.33 vs 1.47 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Curacao U20 W Clean Sheet 16%
Sint Maarten U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao U20 W Sint Maarten U20 W
Matches Played 4 3
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 4 1
Goals Conceded 3.5 6.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Curacao U20 W vs Sint Maarten U20 W
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curacao U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Keller R.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Petronilia R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33

Sint Maarten U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao U20 W 55 / 100
Sint Maarten U20 W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao U20 W Sint Maarten U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Curacao U20 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6%
1.06
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curacao U20 W attacking → ← attacking Sint Maarten U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curacao U20 W scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Sint Maarten U20 W let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Curacao U20 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sint Maarten U20 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 3
2.67 Goals expected (xG) 0.60
2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canada U20 W440040:112
2El Salvador U20 W430116:119
3Cuba U20 W42026:66
4Martinique U20 W40132:211
5Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 W40131:261
6United States Virgin Islands U20 W00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panama U20 W330029:19
2Curacao U20 W320116:56
3Sint Maarten U20 W31023:203
4Bahamas U20 W30031:230
5Haiti U20 W00000:00
6Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 W00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dominican Republic U20 W321018:07
2Guyana U20 W321016:07
3Suriname U20 W31022:93
4Dominica U20 W30030:270
5Grenada U20 W00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Puerto Rico U20 W330016:19
2Trinidad & Tobago U20 W32016:76
3Guadeloupe U20 W31025:83
4Cayman Islands U20 W30031:120
5Antigua and Barbuda U20 W00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jamaica U20 W330010:09
2Honduras U20 W320115:36
3Bermuda U20 W31024:93
4Anguilla U20 W30031:180
5French Guiana U20 W00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Costa Rica U20 W440026:212
2Nicaragua U20 W430110:59
3Guatemala U20 W420210:56
4Belize U20 W41038:203
5Saint Lucia U20 W40041:230