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Stadium Background

Curacao vs Aruba

World World

Friendly International Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Martis B.
35'
Margaritha J.
46'
Sub
Luydens D. In: Nickelson P.
Out: Luydens D.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Curacao and Aruba finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Curacao
20%
Draws
57%
Aruba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Curacao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Aruba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Curacao have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Curacao Clean Sheet 18%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao Aruba
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Friendly International
Curacao vs Aruba
4:0
Jun 9, 2024 World Championship
Aruba vs Curacao
0:2
Nov 15, 2013 Friendly International
Curacao vs Aruba
2:0
Jul 14, 2012 Friendly International
Aruba vs Curacao
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenet J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonisse J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 10 / 100
Aruba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aruba has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Curacao scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Curacao remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Curacao VS Aruba
1.75 Goals Scored 1.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Curacao

(Home)
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
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Aruba

(Away)
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
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