Sport Picks
Curacao vs Saint Lucia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Thomas T. In: Charles R.
Out: Thomas T.
27'
27'
Kastaneer G.
Assist: Margaritha J.
29'
29'
Charles R.
AI Match Summary
Curacao in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Curacao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Saint Lucia have won more games recently than Curacao.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Curacao taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Curacao Clean Sheet 68%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Curacao | Saint Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.02 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2025 World Championship
Curacao vs Saint Lucia
4:0
Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Curacao vs Saint Lucia
4:1
Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Lucia vs Curacao
2:1
Oct 21, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Curacao vs Saint Lucia
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Curacao Compare
Top Goalscorer Kastaneer G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bacuna J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1.01
Saint Lucia Compare
Top Goalscorer Charles R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.74
Avg xA / game 1.06
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Curacao 95 / 100
Saint Lucia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Curacao Saint Lucia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Curacao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Saint Lucia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Curacao's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Curacao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Curacao VS Saint Lucia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.57
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Curacao
(Home) 04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1 Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0 Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1 Nicaragua
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4 Curacao
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2 Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0 Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1 Nicaragua
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2 Ivory Coast
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
14 Oct
Curacao
1 : 1 Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 3
Saint Lucia
(Away) 05 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1 Saint Lucia
02 Oct
Saint Lucia
3 : 0 Guadeloupe
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2 Bermuda
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0 Saint Lucia
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1 Saint Lucia
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0 Saint Lucia
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1 Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0 Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
