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Curacao vs Saint Martin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Kirani James Athletic Stadium, St. George's
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bacuna J.
Assist: Margaritha J.
13' Event
Kastaneer G.
16'
Roemeratoe G.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Curacao and Saint Martin finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Curacao
15%
Draws
46%
Saint Martin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint Martin come out ahead of Curacao on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Saint Martin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Curacao Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao Saint Martin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 2.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Martin vs Curacao
0:5
Sep 9, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Curacao vs Saint Martin
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacuna J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kastaneer G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Saint Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 10 / 100
Saint Martin 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao Saint Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Curacao scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Saint Martin let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Curacao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Curacao VS Saint Martin
1.75 Goals Scored 3.57
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Curacao

(Home)
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1
Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1
Nicaragua
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 6

Saint Martin

(Away)
06 Oct
Saint Martin
6 : 0
Bahamas
01 Oct
United States Virgin Islands
0 : 5
Saint Martin
26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2
United States Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8
Saint Martin
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Bonaire 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 4 1 1 15:3 13
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 0 3 7:15 9
3 Grenada 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Saint Martin 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 6 0 0 29:5 18
2 Puerto Rico 6 3 0 3 11:12 9
3 Sint Maarten 6 3 0 3 7:18 9
4 Aruba 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic 6 6 0 0 27:4 18
2 Bermuda 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 Dominica 6 1 1 4 6:18 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)