Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curtin University vs Gwelup Croatia SC

Australia Australia

WA State League Curtin Stadium, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Poullain B.

AI Match Summary

Gwelup Croatia SC in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gwelup Croatia SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Curtin University
20%
Draws
40%
Gwelup Croatia SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gwelup Croatia SC have won more games recently than Curtin University.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gwelup Croatia SC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Curtin University Clean Sheet 10%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curtin University Gwelup Croatia SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Curtin University
0:0
Apr 2, 2026 WA State League
Curtin University vs Gwelup Croatia SC
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Curtin University
2:1
Apr 17, 2025 WA State League
Curtin University vs Gwelup Croatia SC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curtin University Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Poullain B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curtin University 34 / 100
Gwelup Croatia SC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curtin University Gwelup Croatia SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwelup Croatia SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwelup Croatia SC let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Gwelup Croatia SC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Curtin University scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Curtin University VS Gwelup Croatia SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Curtin University

(Home)
22 Aug
Curtin University
0 : 4
Inglewood Utd
15 Aug
Joondalup City
1 : 0
Curtin University
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
01 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 2
Curtin University
25 Jul
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Curtin University
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Gwelup Croatia SC

(Away)
22 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
4 : 4
Floreat Athena
18 Aug
Kingsley Westside
4 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
15 Aug
Quinns
2 : 0
Gwelup Croatia SC
01 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1
Subiaco
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)