Sport Picks
Curzon Ashton vs Ashton United
England
NPL Premier Division Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne 
Match Events
3'
3'
Holmes B.
34'
34'
Holmes B.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Curzon Ashton and Ashton United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curzon Ashton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ashton United come out ahead of Curzon Ashton on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Curzon Ashton taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 20%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Curzon Ashton | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Curzon Ashton vs Ashton United
2:0
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton
2:0
Jan 1, 2019 National League North
Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton
1:2
Dec 26, 2018 National League North
Curzon Ashton vs Ashton United
2:4
Apr 28, 2015 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Curzon Ashton Compare
Top Goalscorer Holmes B.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ashton United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Curzon Ashton 58 / 100
Ashton United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Curzon Ashton Ashton United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ashton United conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Curzon Ashton's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Curzon Ashton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Curzon Ashton VS Ashton United
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Curzon Ashton
(Home) 26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Stalybridge
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2 Bradford PA
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
28 Aug
Cleethorpes
1 : 3 Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Stalybridge
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2 Bradford PA
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
22 Aug
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2 Guiseley
18 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 2 Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 3
Ashton United
(Away) 26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
22 Aug
AFC Emley
1 : 1 Ashton United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Workington | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 5 | Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 10 | Lancaster | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 12 | Hyde | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Whitby | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 16 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Quorn | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 20 | Stockton | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:24 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 5 |
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