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Curzon Ashton vs Leek Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curzon Ashton host Leek Town in the NPL Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Curzon Ashton have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Leek Town's 1.79 scored and 1.32 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.81) point toward Leek Town. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Curzon Ashton
20%
Draws
44%
Leek Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Leek Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Leek Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 11%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curzon Ashton Leek Town
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curzon Ashton 22 / 100
Leek Town 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curzon Ashton Leek Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curzon Ashton's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Leek Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Curzon Ashton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Curzon Ashton VS Leek Town
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Curzon Ashton

(Home)
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0
Curzon Ashton
13 Oct
Warrington Rylands
5 : 1
Curzon Ashton
10 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Hyde
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Stalybridge
Page 1 of 6

Leek Town

(Away)
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2
Leek Town
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 15 10 4 1 33:13 34
2 Cleethorpes 14 9 3 2 31:9 30
3 Guiseley 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Avro 14 9 1 4 37:27 28
5 Gainsborough 13 8 1 4 29:16 25
6 Workington 15 7 3 5 26:25 24
7 Warrington Town 13 6 5 2 24:19 23
8 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
9 Curzon Ashton 13 7 1 5 24:17 22
10 Alfreton 15 6 2 7 21:17 20
11 Lancaster 15 6 2 7 20:28 20
12 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
13 Whitby 14 6 1 7 20:33 19
14 Hyde 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
15 Leek Town 13 3 5 5 26:26 14
16 Ashton United 14 3 5 6 17:18 14
17 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
18 AFC Emley 14 3 5 6 15:26 14
19 Stockton 15 3 3 9 18:28 12
20 Bamber Bridge 14 2 4 8 17:34 10
21 Ilkeston 15 3 1 11 10:34 10
22 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
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