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Curzon Ashton W vs Notts County W

England England

Women's National League North 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curzon Ashton W play Notts County W in the Women's National League North 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Curzon Ashton W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Notts County W averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, Curzon Ashton W won 0, Notts County W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2010 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Curzon Ashton W and 1.13 for Notts County W. This points to a Notts County W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Curzon Ashton W
15%
Draws
55%
Notts County W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notts County W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Curzon Ashton W picked up more points recently compared to Notts County W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Curzon Ashton W Clean Sheet 21%
Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curzon Ashton W Notts County W
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2010 Women's National League North
Curzon Ashton W vs Notts County W
1:3
Sep 27, 2009 Women's National League North
Notts County W vs Curzon Ashton W
2:0
Mar 22, 2009 Women's National League North
Curzon Ashton W vs Notts County W
0:3
Aug 31, 2008 Women's National League North
Notts County W vs Curzon Ashton W
9:0
Apr 30, 2007 Women's National League North
Curzon Ashton W vs Notts County W
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curzon Ashton W 31 / 100
Notts County W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curzon Ashton W Notts County W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notts County W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Notts County W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curzon Ashton W attacking → ← attacking Notts County W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curzon Ashton W scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Notts County W let in goals in 88% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Curzon Ashton W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Notts County W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75