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Stadium Background

Cusco vs Cienciano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Colunga N.
17' Event
Tevez J.
49' Event
Garces C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cusco
15%
Draws
37%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cusco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cusco are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Cienciano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cienciano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cusco Clean Sheet 15%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Cienciano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cusco
1:2
Jun 28, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cusco vs Cienciano
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Cienciano
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cusco
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Cienciano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Tevez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Colunga N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garces C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 35 / 100
Cienciano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Cienciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cienciano has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Cusco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Cienciano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
Page 1 of 6

Cienciano

(Away)
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)