Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Cienciano

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Ampuero A.
38'
Arias Fierro S. D.
41'
Sub
Arias Fierro S. D. In: Caparo H.
Out: Arias Fierro S. D.

AI Match Summary

Cusco host Cienciano in the Liga 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Cusco have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Cienciano's 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Cusco slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.56, favoring Cienciano. Cienciano in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cusco
17%
Draws
70%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cienciano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cusco.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Cienciano.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cusco Clean Sheet 15%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Cienciano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cusco vs Cienciano
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Cienciano
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cusco
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Cienciano
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cusco
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Callejo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Hohberg A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garces C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 15 / 100
Cienciano 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Cienciano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Cienciano let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cusco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cienciano lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Cienciano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016