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Cusco vs Flamengo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Fuentes A.
59' Event
Bruno Henrique
Assist: Ayrton Lucas
60'
Sub
Silva N. In: Herrera J.
Out: Silva N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Cusco
15%
Draws
50%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flamengo RJ lately — more wins on the board than Cusco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Flamengo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cusco Clean Sheet 68%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.39 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Cusco
3:0
Apr 9, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Cusco vs Flamengo RJ
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Arrascaeta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 41 / 100
Flamengo RJ 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cusco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cusco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Flamengo RJ has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Flamengo RJ
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo RJ

(Away)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)