Sport Picks

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Cwmamman United vs Afan Lido

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2019/2020
Fri, Mar 20, 2020
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cwmamman United play Afan Lido in the Cymru South 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cwmamman United averaged 0.95 goals scored and 2.36 conceded. Afan Lido averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Cwmamman United won 3, Afan Lido won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 20, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Cwmamman United and 0.93 for Afan Lido. This points to a Afan Lido double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cwmamman United
15%
Draws
48%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Cwmamman United picked up more points recently compared to Afan Lido.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Cwmamman United Clean Sheet 24%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmamman United Afan Lido
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.95 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2020 Cymru South
Cwmamman United vs Afan Lido
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Cwmamman United
7:0
Apr 6, 2019 Division 1
Cwmamman United vs Afan Lido
3:2
Feb 15, 2019 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Cwmamman United
2:4
Mar 24, 2018 Division 1
Cwmamman United vs Afan Lido
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmamman United 38 / 100
Afan Lido 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmamman United Afan Lido

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Afan Lido or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cwmamman United attacking → ← attacking Afan Lido

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmamman United scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Afan Lido let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Cwmamman United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Afan Lido lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 33
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pure Swansea25175356:3156
2Haverfordwest25174458:2655
3Briton Ferry24152765:3647
4Cambrian United23117541:3140
5Llanelli261241047:5140
6STM Sports22123751:3439
7Ammanford Town251211244:4737
8Goytre Utd25106940:4136
9Pontypridd United2598852:4135
10Afan Lido251041147:4734
11Llantwit Major24761134:3927
12Undy21721229:3823
13Cwmbran Celtic22641229:4422
14Taffs Well25631640:6421
15Cwmamman United22521522:5517
16Caerau Ely21151522:528