Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cwmbran Celtic vs Treowen

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
James T.
63' Event
Evans M.
86' Event
Gibson J.

AI Match Summary

Treowen in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treowen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cwmbran Celtic
15%
Draws
49%
Treowen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treowen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treowen lately — more wins on the board than Cwmbran Celtic.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Treowen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Treowen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmbran Celtic Treowen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 2, 2026 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Treowen
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru South
Treowen vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cwmbran Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Treowen Compare

Top Goalscorer James T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmbran Celtic 26 / 100
Treowen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmbran Celtic Treowen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treowen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treowen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cwmbran Celtic scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Treowen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cwmbran Celtic VS Treowen
1.17 Goals Scored 2
2.83 Goals Conceded 2.38
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cwmbran Celtic

(Home)
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1
Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1
Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8
Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Cambrian United
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Treowen

(Away)
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)