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Cyncoed W vs Abergavenny Town W

Wales Wales

Premier Women 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cyncoed W play Abergavenny Town W in the Premier Women 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cyncoed W averaged 1 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. Abergavenny Town W averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Cyncoed W won 1, Abergavenny Town W won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 23, 2021 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.29 for Cyncoed W and 1.05 for Abergavenny Town W. This points to a Cyncoed W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cyncoed W
26%
Draws
35%
Abergavenny Town W
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Cyncoed W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cyncoed W picked up more points recently compared to Abergavenny Town W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.29 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Cyncoed W Clean Sheet 22%
Abergavenny Town W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cyncoed W Abergavenny Town W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2021 Premier Women
Cyncoed W vs Abergavenny Town W
1:1
Oct 11, 2020 Premier Women
Abergavenny Town W vs Cyncoed W
4:0
Jan 26, 2020 Premier Women
Cyncoed W vs Abergavenny Town W
1:1
Jan 19, 2020 Premier Women
Abergavenny Town W vs Cyncoed W
0:2
Apr 24, 2019 Premier Women
Cyncoed W vs Abergavenny Town W
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cyncoed W 40 / 100
Abergavenny Town W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cyncoed W Abergavenny Town W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cyncoed W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cyncoed W attacking → ← attacking Abergavenny Town W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cyncoed W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Abergavenny Town W let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Cyncoed W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Abergavenny Town W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cardiff Met. Ladies W18152162:1247
2Swansea W18133264:1242
3Abergavenny Town W18122461:2538
4Cyncoed W18121542:2037
5Cardiff City W1883747:3227
6Port Talbot W1881939:4025
7Llandudno FC W18611129:4319
8Rhyl W18421226:6214
9Caernarfon Town W1810179:923
10Caldicot W18311423:641