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Cynthialbalonga vs Nuova Florida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024
Wed, Nov 29, 2023
1 - 2
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Negro L.
63' Event
Milani S.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nuova Florida in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cynthialbalonga
30%
Draws
31%
Nuova Florida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cynthialbalonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cynthialbalonga have won more games recently than Nuova Florida.
  • Win probability leans Cynthialbalonga's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Cynthialbalonga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nuova Florida, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 68%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cynthialbalonga Nuova Florida
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Cynthialbalonga
0:1
Nov 29, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Cynthialbalonga vs Nuova Florida
1:2
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Cynthialbalonga vs Nuova Florida
0:2
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Cynthialbalonga vs Nuova Florida
2:1
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Nuova Florida vs Cynthialbalonga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Milani S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Nuova Florida Compare

Top Goalscorer Negro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cynthialbalonga 77 / 100
Nuova Florida 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cynthialbalonga Nuova Florida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cynthialbalonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cynthialbalonga scored in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Nuova Florida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cynthialbalonga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cynthialbalonga VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cynthialbalonga

(Home)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
Page 1 of 8

Nuova Florida

(Away)
12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2
Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3
Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2
Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0
Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Virtus Bolzano 0
Luparense FC 3
Chions 1
Clodiense 1
Ravenna 0
Campodarsego 1
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Arconatese 1
Alcione Milano 0
Castellanzese 0
Varesina 2
Pro Palazzolo 1
Desenzano Calvina 0
Real Calepina 1
Ponte San Pietro 0
Asti Calcio 1
PDHA 0
Chisola 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 1
Fanfulla 0
Fezzanese 0
Vado 1
Livorno 2
Ghiviborgo 1
Poggibonsi 2
Aglianese Calcio 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Sangiovannese 1
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 2
Pistoiese 1
San Donnino 0
Corticella 3
Forli FC 1
Imolese 3
Fano 2
Sambenedettese 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Campobasso 1
Grosseto 2
Nuova Florida 3
Tivoli Calcio 1
Ostiamare 0
Trastevere Calcio 2
Latte Dolce 0
Real Monterotondo 1
Cynthialbalonga 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Casarano 4
Fidelis Andria 2
Bitonto 1
San Marzano 2
Paganese 3
Cavese 3
Rotonda 0
Angri 3
Real Casalnuovo 1
Vibonese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Akragas 2
Canicatti 1
Trapani 2
Sancataldese 1
1/16-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Luparense FC 0
Clodiense 1
Campodarsego 0
Arconatese 0
Varesina 1
Pro Palazzolo 2
Real Calepina 1
Asti Calcio 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 2
Vado 1
Livorno 3
Poggibonsi 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 1
Corticella 0
Imolese 2
Fano 0
Campobasso 1
Nuova Florida 2
Tivoli Calcio 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Cynthialbalonga 1
Casarano 0
Fidelis Andria 3
Paganese 0
Cavese 1
Angri -
Lamezia Terme -
Akragas 0
Trapani 3
1/8-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 2
Varesina 3
Pro Palazzolo 0
Bra 0
USD Casatese 1
Livorno 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Imolese 1
Campobasso 0
Nuova Florida 2
Cynthialbalonga 1
Fidelis Andria 3
Cavese 1
Angri 0
Trapani 3
Quarter-finals
Clodiense 0
Varesina 1
USD Casatese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Imolese 1
Nuova Florida 0
Fidelis Andria 1
Trapani 2
Semi-finals
Varesina 3
Follonica Gavorrano 4
Imolese 1
Trapani 3
Final
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Trapani 2