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Cynthialbalonga vs US Tolentino Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Vitiello D.
45' Event
Cappai R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Cynthialbalonga and US Tolentino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cynthialbalonga
20%
Draws
51%
US Tolentino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: US Tolentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cynthialbalonga come out ahead of US Tolentino on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cynthialbalonga a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 68%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cynthialbalonga US Tolentino
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.33 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Cynthialbalonga vs US Tolentino
1:1
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Cynthialbalonga
1:3
Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Cynthialbalonga vs US Tolentino
1:1
Feb 7, 2021 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Cynthialbalonga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Cappai R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

US Tolentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitiello D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cynthialbalonga 95 / 100
US Tolentino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cynthialbalonga US Tolentino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cynthialbalonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Tolentino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Cynthialbalonga found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cynthialbalonga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cynthialbalonga VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cynthialbalonga

(Home)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
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US Tolentino

(Away)
29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0
US Tolentino
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0
Roma City
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0
US Tolentino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)