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Cynthialbalonga vs Vastese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Sansone V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Cynthialbalonga and Vastese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vastese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cynthialbalonga
20%
Draws
44%
Vastese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vastese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cynthialbalonga come out ahead of Vastese on wins alone.
  • Cynthialbalonga are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vastese have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 68%
Vastese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cynthialbalonga Vastese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Cynthialbalonga vs Vastese
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Cynthialbalonga
3:1
Jun 6, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Cynthialbalonga
3:1
Jan 31, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Cynthialbalonga vs Vastese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Vastese Compare

Top Goalscorer Sansone V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cynthialbalonga 59 / 100
Vastese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cynthialbalonga Vastese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cynthialbalonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cynthialbalonga found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Vastese conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Cynthialbalonga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cynthialbalonga VS Vastese
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cynthialbalonga

(Home)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
Page 1 of 7

Vastese

(Away)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)