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Cyprus vs Estonia

World World

Friendly International 2025 Alphamega Stadium, Limassol
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Andreou E.
35'
Schjonning-Larsen M.
39'
Pileas K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Cyprus and Estonia finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cyprus
15%
Draws
54%
Estonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cyprus's 1.21 goals per match outpaces what Estonia have produced (0.97).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 16%
Estonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cyprus Estonia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Estonia
2:4
Mar 29, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Estonia
2:0
Mar 24, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Estonia vs Cyprus
0:0
Sep 3, 2017 World Championship
Estonia vs Cyprus
1:0
Mar 25, 2017 World Championship
Cyprus vs Estonia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cyprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreou E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kakoullis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Estonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sappinen R.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cyprus 31 / 100
Estonia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cyprus Estonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cyprus scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cyprus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cyprus VS Estonia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cyprus

(Home)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
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Estonia

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
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