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Stadium Background

Cyprus vs Moldova

World World

Friendly International GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kastanos G.
Assist: Loizou L.
30' Event
Charalampous C.
37'
Sub
Puscas D. In: Perciun S.
Out: Puscas D.

AI Match Summary

Cyprus in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cyprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Cyprus
30%
Draws
16%
Moldova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cyprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Cyprus have won more games recently than Moldova.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Cyprus taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cyprus here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 68%
Moldova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cyprus Moldova
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Moldova
3:2
Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International
Moldova vs Cyprus
3:2
Aug 10, 2011 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Moldova
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cyprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Charalampous C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kastanos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Moldova Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stina V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cyprus 86 / 100
Moldova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cyprus Moldova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cyprus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moldova let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Cyprus found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Cyprus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cyprus VS Moldova
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cyprus

(Home)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
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Moldova

(Away)
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1
Moldova
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