Sport Picks
Czarni Polaniec vs Chelmianka Chelm
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Okoniewski K.
90'
90'
Kramarz A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Czarni Polaniec haven't matched Chelmianka Chelm's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 15%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Czarni Polaniec | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Czarni Polaniec
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:3
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Czarni Polaniec
3:1
Apr 13, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Czarni Polaniec
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Top Goalscorer Kramarz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
Top Goalscorer Okoniewski K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Czarni Polaniec 31 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Czarni Polaniec Chelmianka Chelm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Czarni Polaniec's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Chelmianka Chelm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Czarni Polaniec went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Czarni Polaniec VS Chelmianka Chelm
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Czarni Polaniec
(Home) 15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4 Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4 Jaroslaw
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
16 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 1 Star Starachowice
09 May
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 0 Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 4
Chelmianka Chelm
(Away) 18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Hetman Zamosc
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
17 May
Cracovia II
3 : 3 Chelmianka Chelm
01 May
Wislanie Skawina
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)