Sport Picks
Czarni Polaniec vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Belych Y.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Czarni Polaniec and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Czarni Polaniec haven't matched Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's recent run of results.
- Model gives Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 15%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Czarni Polaniec | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Czarni Polaniec
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Czarni Polaniec
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Belych Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Czarni Polaniec 10 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Czarni Polaniec Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Czarni Polaniec found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Czarni Polaniec has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Czarni Polaniec VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Czarni Polaniec
(Home) 15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4 Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4 Jaroslaw
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
16 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 1 Star Starachowice
09 May
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 0 Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 3
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Away) 22 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
7 : 1 Bochnia
17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
01 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
6 : 0 Star Starachowice
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
23 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
13 May
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
02 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)