Sport Picks
Czarni Polaniec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Majda O.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Skrzyniak A.
75'
75'
Khromykh Y.
AI Match Summary
Czarni Polaniec in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Czarni Polaniec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Czarni Polaniec
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Czarni Polaniec lately — more wins on the board than Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.
- Model gives Czarni Polaniec a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Czarni Polaniec | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 29, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3:2
Aug 10, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Czarni Polaniec
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Czarni Polaniec
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Skrzyniak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Top Goalscorer Khromykh Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Czarni Polaniec 42 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Czarni Polaniec Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Czarni Polaniec found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Czarni Polaniec has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Czarni Polaniec VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Czarni Polaniec
(Home) 24 Jul
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4 Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4 Jaroslaw
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
16 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 1 Star Starachowice
09 May
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 0 Wislanie Skawina
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Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Away) 25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1 Star Starachowice
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
13 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 3 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
