Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Czarni Polaniec vs Wiazownica

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Janiczak G.
34' Event
Janiczak G.
55' Event
Sadlocha K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 game between Czarni Polaniec and Wiazownica finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wiazownica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Czarni Polaniec
20%
Draws
22%
Wiazownica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Czarni Polaniec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Czarni Polaniec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Czarni Polaniec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 18%
Wiazownica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Polaniec Wiazownica
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Wiazownica
1:2
Nov 15, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Wiazownica vs Czarni Polaniec
4:0
Apr 26, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Wiazownica vs Czarni Polaniec
1:3
Sep 30, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Wiazownica
6:1
May 31, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Wiazownica
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadlocha K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Wiazownica Compare

Top Goalscorer Janiczak G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Polaniec 85 / 100
Wiazownica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Polaniec Wiazownica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Czarni Polaniec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Czarni Polaniec scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Wiazownica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Czarni Polaniec stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Polaniec VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Czarni Polaniec

(Home)
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 7

Wiazownica

(Away)
07 Jun
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 2
Wiazownica
31 May
Wiazownica
0 : 3
Wisla II
25 May
Biala Podlaska
7 : 2
Wiazownica
21 May
Wiazownica
0 : 1
Wisloka Debica
17 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 0
Wiazownica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sandecja Nowy S. 34 22 8 4 65:31 74
2 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 21 5 8 67:43 68
3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 20 5 9 76:42 65
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 19 6 9 55:40 63
5 Avia Swidnik 34 18 8 8 77:44 62
6 Korona Kielce II 34 17 10 7 71:50 61
7 Star Starachowice 34 16 7 11 61:46 55
8 Biala Podlaska 34 15 8 11 59:42 53
9 Chelmianka Chelm 34 16 5 13 74:62 53
10 Wisloka Debica 34 14 4 16 61:55 46
11 Czarni Polaniec 34 11 8 15 52:64 41
12 Wisla II 34 11 8 15 72:60 41
13 Swidniczanka Swidnik 34 10 9 15 44:54 39
14 Wislanie Skawina 34 10 9 15 41:60 39
15 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 34 10 7 17 50:68 37
16 Wiazownica 34 7 9 18 38:70 30
17 Lewart Lubartow 34 5 4 25 31:85 19
18 Unia Tarnow 34 2 4 28 28:106 10
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)