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Czech Republic U18 vs Ukraine U18

World World

Friendly International 2019
Sat, Aug 24, 2019
0 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Czech Republic U18 averaging 1.4 xG at home and Ukraine U18 producing 1.2 xG on their travels. Ukraine U18 will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Czech Republic U18 to find a way to break them down. A single goal could decide this. The Under 3.5 goals market offers solid value. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Czech Republic U18
18%
Draws
44%
Ukraine U18
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ukraine U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Czech Republic U18 picked up more points recently compared to Ukraine U18.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Czech Republic U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U18 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czech Republic U18 Ukraine U18
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

19.05.20 Slovakia Cup
Ukraine U18 vs Czech Republic U18
0:0
24.08.19 Friendly International
Czech Republic U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:1
20.05.19 Slovakia Cup
Czech Republic U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:2
07.05.18 Slovakia Cup
Ukraine U18 vs Czech Republic U18
0:3
28.04.14 Slovakia Cup
Czech Republic U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Czech Republic U18

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Ukraine U18

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czech Republic U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.89

Ukraine U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
6 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.87

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Ukraine U18 • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Czech Republic U18 • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Ukraine U18 • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Czech Republic U18 • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czech Republic U18 38 / 100
Ukraine U18 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czech Republic U18 Ukraine U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ukraine U18 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Czech Republic U18 will likely press early to force mistakes.

Czech Republic U18 59%
Ukraine U18 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Ukraine U18 should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Czech Republic U18 54%
Ukraine U18 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Czech Republic U18 51%
Ukraine U18 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Czech Republic U18 to push more players wide.

Czech Republic U18 56%
Ukraine U18 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Czech Republic U18 51%
Ukraine U18 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Czech Republic U18 62%
Ukraine U18 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Czech Republic U18 attacking → ← attacking Ukraine U18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czech Republic U18 have scored in 95% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Ukraine U18 concede most goals (43%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 18 shots per game, well above the league median.

Czech Republic U18 are unbeaten in 5 straight matches when scoring first.

Ukraine U18 have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 9 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Czech Republic U18 wants a European spot, while Ukraine U18 is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 44
1.44 Goals expected (xG) 1.19
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2