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Czworka Radom W vs GKS Katowice W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Czworka Radom W play GKS Katowice W in the Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023. GKS Katowice W are favorites here. Recently, Czworka Radom W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. GKS Katowice W averaged 2.41 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Czworka Radom W won 0, GKS Katowice W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2023 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Czworka Radom W and 3.31 for GKS Katowice W. This points to a GKS Katowice W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Czworka Radom W
15%
Draws
68%
GKS Katowice W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GKS Katowice W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Czworka Radom W picked up more points recently compared to GKS Katowice W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 3.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Czworka Radom W Clean Sheet 10%
GKS Katowice W Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czworka Radom W GKS Katowice W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 23
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.13 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Ekstraliga Women
Czworka Radom W vs GKS Katowice W
2:3
Oct 15, 2022 Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice W vs Czworka Radom W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czworka Radom W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlowska W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chmura A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

GKS Katowice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brzeczek N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zajac N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czworka Radom W 17 / 100
GKS Katowice W 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czworka Radom W GKS Katowice W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GKS Katowice W Win (2)
Secondary Pick GKS Katowice W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Czworka Radom W attacking → ← attacking GKS Katowice W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czworka Radom W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

GKS Katowice W let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Czworka Radom W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

GKS Katowice W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 72
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GKS Katowice W22181348:1755
2Leczna W22164279:3052
3UKS SMS Lodz W22171462:2452
4UJ Krakow W22124641:3140
5Pogon Szczecin W22121942:3037
6Slask Wroclaw W221021046:3832
7Czarni Sosnowiec W2286836:2930
8AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22661025:3224
9Pogon Tczew W22531429:5618
10Medyk Konin W22431525:4915
11KKP Bydgoszcz W22341519:5413
12Czworka Radom W22311819:8110